Thursday, July 19, 2007

Larry Sabato Predicts Dems Will Retain Senate in 2008

Professor Larry Sabato predicts that the Democrats will retain control or expand their narror margin in the Senate.

Of course, Sabato is looking only at numbers, with only brief references to national trends. To a certain extent Senate races are still local enough that incumbents have a decided advantage. But unlike House races, I think the Senate races are much more prone to the influence of national and presidential politics. If the Senate stays Democrat, start putting more money on a GOP President. It goes the other way as well.

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